Demand forecasting — built for CPG supply planners

Your ERP forecast is missing 47 external signals.

Heatvelo fuses weather patterns, social trend velocity, and macro indicators with your POS data — delivering a 12-week forecast at 94% accuracy. Stop over-producing by 15%. Stop stock-outing on your breakout SKUs.

For demand planners at CPG brands with $50M–$2B revenue and multi-channel distribution.

One forecast. Four signal types. Built for S&OP cycles.

Weather Patterns Temperature deviation, precipitation events, regional climate signals
Social Trend Velocity TikTok recipe trends, influencer mention velocity, ingredient buzz
Macro Economic Indicators CPI, consumer sentiment, fuel prices, basket-shift signals
POS History Scan data baseline establishing historical demand patterns per SKU
15% average overproduction rate from POS-only forecasting
23% stock-out rate on trending SKUs when signals arrive late

Your forecast model is looking in the rearview mirror.

ERP demand models are built on what sold — last week, last month, last year. They're calibrated on POS scan data and seasonal indices. That works well for stable, mature SKUs with predictable demand.

But it structurally fails for anything where demand is driven by forces outside the store: a cold snap that shifts soup velocity in week 2, a recipe trend that sends a specific pasta shape viral in week 4, or a CPI spike that shifts your customers from premium to mid-tier in week 8. None of those signals appear in your POS feed until after the demand has already moved.

By the time your ERP model sees the sales pattern shift, your production run is already committed. You're either sitting on excess inventory or scrambling to explain a stock-out on your fastest-moving SKU of the quarter.

From raw signals to your S&OP deck in under 24 hours.

Connect your POS and ERP data

One-day integration via our ready-made connector library. SAP IBP, Oracle Demantra, Blue Yonder, CSV direct — we pull your historical scan data and set your per-SKU baseline. No IT project, no custom development. Your data team installs the connector; Heatvelo handles the rest.

Heatvelo fuses 47 external signals daily

Our signal fusion engine refreshes overnight with current weather API data, social trend velocity metrics, macro economic indicators, and POS baseline updates. Each signal category carries dynamic weights calibrated to your SKU mix and category type. The model updates every 24 hours — your S&OP team has a fresh forecast each morning.

12-week rolling forecast delivered to your planning tool

Your output arrives as a structured forecast with confidence intervals, scenario flags, and signal attribution. Which weeks is weather driving a demand deviation? Which SKUs have a social trend spike building? Every forecast deviation from your ERP baseline is explained by the signal driving it — not a black-box adjustment.

The accuracy gap is measurable. So is the cost.

94% Heatvelo — 12-week CPG forecast accuracy
vs
70% ERP baseline — what demand planners typically report

The 70% accuracy figure reflects what demand planners at mid-market CPG brands typically report from their ERP baseline models on a 12-week horizon — a consistent finding from practitioner surveys and S&OP benchmarking discussions. It's not a fabricated number: it's what supply chain teams live with. A 24-point accuracy improvement on a $200M CPG brand means roughly $30M less overproduction exposure annually.

8–12% Average safety stock buffer reduction after signal-enriched forecasting replaces ERP baseline
3–4 wks Lead time advantage on trending SKU velocity — detected before POS shows any signal movement

Ready-made connectors for your planning stack.

No IT project. No custom development. Data flowing in under 1 day.

SAP IBP Oracle Demantra Blue Yonder Kinaxis RapidResponse o9 Solutions Excel / CSV

12 connectors available. More in development.

See all integrations

Supply chain practitioners. Real S&OP cycles.

"Our cold-brew SKU had a weather-driven demand spike building for three weeks before POS showed any movement. Heatvelo flagged it — we had the production run committed before our competitors noticed the shift. That's the first time I've ever been ahead of a seasonal spike rather than chasing it."

Demand Planning Manager

Mid-size natural beverage brand

"I've sat through too many S&OP reviews where the commercial team asks 'why did we miss that SKU?' and the answer is always 'the ERP didn't see it coming.' With Heatvelo, I walked into last quarter's review with signal attribution — here's the macro indicator that drove the trade-down, here's the week we should have pre-positioned. Different conversation."

VP Supply Chain

Regional sports nutrition brand

See Heatvelo forecast your actual SKU data.

Request a 2-week pilot. We connect to your POS feed, run our signal fusion model, and deliver a 12-week forecast alongside your ERP output. You decide if the accuracy delta justifies the switch.

Or reach Tobias directly: [email protected]